Scouting Report
Mike Rupp holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Rupp on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Little wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Rupp shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 46.5% vs Rupp 50.4% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Little 55.9%
Defensive zone
Little 65.8%
Neutral zone
Little 60.1%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Little
Rupp
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Little
Rupp
Last 5: Little 2-3 Rupp
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Little
Rupp
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rupp
1
2
Little
Rupp
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Rupp
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (982)
51.2% (123)
-4.6%
Power Play
52.4% (166)
48.6% (35)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (170)
33.3% (3)
+4.3%
On even strength, Rupp has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rupp shoots left. Little is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (887).
Little shoots right. Rupp is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
Little
Rupp
Home
48.6% (623)
41.2% (85)
Away
44.2% (708)
61.0% (77)
By Period
Little
Rupp
P1
46.3%
43.9%
P2
44.2%
59.0%
P3
48.1%
47.7%
Final 5 min
48.9%
62.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.3%
Rupp
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2011 | 3 | 00:58 | Defensive | Mike Rupp |
| Apr 10, 2011 | 2 | 18:37 | Offensive | Mike Rupp |
| Apr 10, 2011 | 2 | 11:36 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 3 | 05:47 | Defensive | Mike Rupp |
| Dec 2, 2010 | 1 | 04:41 | Defensive | Bryan Little |