Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Santorelli on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 49.6% vs Santorelli 46.2% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Santorelli 66.0%
Defensive zone
Santorelli 62.2%
Neutral zone
Santorelli 66.4%
Result
Mike Santorelli favored at 66.3%
33.7%
66.3%
Little
Santorelli
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Little
Santorelli
Last 5: Little 1-4 Santorelli
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Santorelli
0
1
Little
Santorelli
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Santorelli
1
3
Little
Santorelli
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Santorelli
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (1,089)
45.1% (348)
+4.7%
Power Play
51.4% (218)
42.4% (33)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (149)
0.0% (3)
+45.6%
On penalty kill, Little has a +45.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Santorelli shoots right. Little is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (494).
Little shoots right. Santorelli is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Little
Santorelli
Home
52.9% (681)
49.5% (188)
Away
46.7% (798)
41.3% (201)
By Period
Little
Santorelli
P1
49.9%
48.8%
P2
49.2%
40.7%
P3
49.7%
47.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
49.6%
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 05:54 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 10, 2011 | 3 | 13:02 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Nov 10, 2011 | 2 | 04:53 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Oct 31, 2011 | 2 | 03:57 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Oct 31, 2011 | 1 | 19:40 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |