Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Little on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 33 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 50.6% vs Thompson 52.9% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 43-38 in 81 meetings
Offensive zone
Little 75.6%
Defensive zone
Thompson 64.1%
Neutral zone
Little 54.1%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Little
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
38
-
43
(81 meetings)
38
43
Little
Thompson
Last 10: Little 6-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
24
9
Little
Thompson
33 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
3
16
Little
Thompson
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
11
18
Little
Thompson
29 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (8,646)
54.1% (5,812)
-3.2%
Power Play
55.5% (1,593)
54.8% (135)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,406)
47.9% (1,381)
-4.4%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Little is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,844).
Little shoots right. Thompson is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,660).
Home / Away
Little
Thompson
Home
52.9% (5,664)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
48.6% (6,017)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
Little
Thompson
P1
50.9%
53.2%
P2
49.6%
52.9%
P3
51.5%
52.8%
OT
49.1%
47.9%
Final 5 min
51.1%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2018 | 1 | 13:50 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 3 | 12:38 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 20, 2018 | 3 | 19:07 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 20, 2018 | 1 | 05:46 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 3 | 00:19 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 1 | 11:56 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 1 | 17:26 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Mar 24, 2017 | 3 | 09:17 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 3, 2016 | 1 | 19:42 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 11, 2015 | 3 | 17:57 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Jan 11, 2015 | 3 | 12:56 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 11, 2015 | 2 | 13:38 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 11, 2015 | 1 | 10:56 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 11, 2015 | 1 | 06:27 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 11, 2015 | 1 | 05:05 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 3 | 17:20 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 3 | 14:55 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 3 | 10:39 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 3 | 02:59 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 1 | 10:47 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |