Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.2% vs 51.2%). Look for Little on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 51.1% vs Thompson 51.1% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Little leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Little 54.7%
Defensive zone
Thompson 75.6%
Neutral zone
Thompson 54.6%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Little
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Little
Thompson
Last 10: Little 7-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
5
0
Little
Thompson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
3
Little
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
2
1
Little
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (628)
52.6% (462)
-1.5%
Power Play
52.5% (118)
80.0% (10)
-27.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (96)
44.4% (133)
+5.6%
On power play, Thompson has a +27.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Little is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (523).
Little shoots right. Thompson is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Little
Thompson
Home
51.4% (420)
52.5% (324)
Away
50.9% (422)
49.8% (281)
By Period
Little
Thompson
P1
50.4%
49.0%
P2
49.3%
55.4%
P3
53.8%
48.3%
OT
50.0%
83.3%
Final 5 min
53.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.2%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2013 | 3 | 10:47 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 2 | 08:37 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 2 | 19:25 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 2 | 07:10 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 2 | 02:24 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 1 | 10:15 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 3 | 17:32 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 2 | 16:30 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Feb 1, 2013 | 2 | 17:58 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |