Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 50.7%). Look for Little on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 50.6% vs Dowd 50.7% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Little 86.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 85.5%
Neutral zone
Dowd 51.9%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
Little
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Little
Dowd
Last 9: Little 7-2 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
2
0
Little
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
3
1
Little
Dowd
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
2
1
Little
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (8,646)
52.4% (6,009)
-1.5%
Power Play
55.5% (1,593)
56.1% (164)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,406)
44.1% (1,635)
-0.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Little is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (3,837).
Little shoots right. Dowd is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,675).
Home / Away
Little
Dowd
Home
52.9% (5,664)
51.9% (3,897)
Away
48.6% (6,017)
49.5% (3,912)
By Period
Little
Dowd
P1
50.9%
51.7%
P2
49.6%
50.4%
P3
51.5%
50.3%
OT
49.1%
45.9%
Final 5 min
51.1%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2018 | 2 | 06:43 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 21, 2018 | 1 | 06:41 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 21, 2018 | 1 | 03:14 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Dec 11, 2017 | 1 | 05:39 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 18:00 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 14, 2017 | OT | 00:37 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 3 | 09:20 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 3 | 02:09 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 1 | 09:06 | Neutral | Bryan Little |