Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Little on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Little wins 54.8% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 55.1% vs Dowd 48.1% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Little 60.3%
Defensive zone
Little 87.8%
Neutral zone
Little 83.8%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 81.5%
81.5%
18.5%
Little
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Little
Dowd
Last 5: Little 4-1 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
1
0
Little
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
2
1
Little
Dowd
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
1
0
Little
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (847)
47.2% (608)
+10.1%
Power Play
57.5% (160)
53.1% (96)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (90)
0.0% (3)
+36.7%
On penalty kill, Little has a +36.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Little is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Little shoots right. Dowd is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Little
Dowd
Home
56.7% (575)
48.7% (384)
Away
54.4% (522)
46.7% (323)
By Period
Little
Dowd
P1
55.4%
50.2%
P2
53.9%
47.5%
P3
57.6%
46.2%
OT
58.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
55.6%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 18:00 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 14, 2017 | OT | 00:37 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 3 | 09:20 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 3 | 02:09 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 1 | 09:06 | Neutral | Bryan Little |