Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 50.6% vs Bjugstad 48.9% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 16-12 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 57.5%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 66.8%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 62.4%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 61.9%
38.1%
61.9%
Little
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
16
(28 meetings)
12
16
Little
Bjugstad
Last 10: Little 5-5 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
2
7
Little
Bjugstad
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
4
3
Little
Bjugstad
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
6
6
Little
Bjugstad
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (8,646)
48.6% (6,634)
+2.3%
Power Play
55.5% (1,593)
55.2% (829)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,406)
44.3% (614)
-0.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Little is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (3,837).
Little shoots right. Bjugstad is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,330).
Home / Away
Little
Bjugstad
Home
52.9% (5,664)
49.8% (4,020)
Away
48.6% (6,017)
48.1% (4,057)
By Period
Little
Bjugstad
P1
50.9%
49.0%
P2
49.6%
49.1%
P3
51.5%
48.4%
OT
49.1%
61.3%
Final 5 min
51.1%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2018 | 3 | 12:46 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 2, 2018 | 2 | 08:49 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 2, 2018 | 2 | 05:21 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Nov 2, 2018 | 2 | 04:35 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 2, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 2, 2018 | 1 | 09:36 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 2, 2018 | 1 | 01:42 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 2 | 07:29 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 3 | 11:57 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 2 | 17:49 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 2 | 17:40 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 4, 2017 | 2 | 11:50 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 3 | 12:44 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 3 | 05:39 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 2 | 16:32 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 2 | 04:08 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 1 | 09:13 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 1 | 06:03 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |