Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 52.3% vs Bjugstad 49.5% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 62.3%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 61.0%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 60.2%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Little
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Little
Bjugstad
Last 8: Little 3-5 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Little
Bjugstad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
2
Little
Bjugstad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
2
Little
Bjugstad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (796)
48.8% (467)
+4.2%
Power Play
56.0% (116)
53.4% (58)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (90)
60.0% (5)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Little is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Little shoots right. Bjugstad is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Home / Away
Little
Bjugstad
Home
53.6% (491)
49.0% (261)
Away
51.5% (511)
49.8% (269)
By Period
Little
Bjugstad
P1
55.4%
50.9%
P2
50.6%
50.5%
P3
52.1%
47.2%
OT
37.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
57.9%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
52.5%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2018 | 3 | 12:46 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 2, 2018 | 2 | 08:49 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 2, 2018 | 2 | 05:21 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Nov 2, 2018 | 2 | 04:35 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 2, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 2, 2018 | 1 | 09:36 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 2, 2018 | 1 | 01:42 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 2 | 07:29 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |