Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 50.0%). Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 50.6% vs Bonino 50.0% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 30-24 in 54 meetings
Offensive zone
Little 68.1%
Defensive zone
Bonino 72.2%
Neutral zone
Bonino 52.6%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Little
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
30
(54 meetings)
24
30
Little
Bonino
Last 10: Little 3-7 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
14
9
Little
Bonino
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
5
12
Little
Bonino
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
5
9
Little
Bonino
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (8,646)
50.6% (8,315)
+0.3%
Power Play
55.5% (1,593)
54.1% (972)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,406)
44.6% (1,693)
-1.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Little is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,844).
Little shoots right. Bonino is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,070).
Home / Away
Little
Bonino
Home
52.9% (5,664)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
48.6% (6,017)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Little
Bonino
P1
50.9%
50.6%
P2
49.6%
48.5%
P3
51.5%
51.1%
OT
49.1%
45.7%
Final 5 min
51.1%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 09:36 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 3 | 11:27 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 3 | 08:29 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 3 | 08:19 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 2 | 00:33 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 25, 2018 | 3 | 15:56 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 25, 2018 | 3 | 05:47 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 25, 2018 | 2 | 19:13 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 25, 2018 | 2 | 01:12 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 25, 2018 | 1 | 10:09 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 3 | 04:55 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 3 | 04:48 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 3 | 00:40 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 2 | 13:57 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 2 | 13:26 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 2 | 00:36 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 1 | 10:59 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 1 | 07:32 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 3 | 16:03 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 3 | 10:00 | Neutral | Bryan Little |