Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.5% vs 51.8%). Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 52.3% vs Bonino 51.6% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Little 69.5%
Defensive zone
Bonino 80.4%
Neutral zone
Bonino 50.6%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 64.5%
35.5%
64.5%
Little
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Little
Bonino
Last 5: Little 1-4 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
1
0
Little
Bonino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
3
Little
Bonino
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Little
Bonino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (796)
52.6% (836)
+0.4%
Power Play
56.0% (116)
51.8% (110)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (90)
47.8% (186)
-4.5%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Little is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Little shoots right. Bonino is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (476).
Home / Away
Little
Bonino
Home
53.6% (491)
50.8% (547)
Away
51.5% (511)
52.6% (585)
By Period
Little
Bonino
P1
55.4%
56.2%
P2
50.6%
48.9%
P3
52.1%
50.9%
OT
37.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.9%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
52.5%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 09:36 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 3 | 11:27 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 3 | 08:29 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 3 | 08:19 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 2 | 00:33 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |