Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Little on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 50.6% vs Foligno 48.6% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Little leads 18-7 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Little 55.7%
Defensive zone
Little 78.3%
Neutral zone
Little 70.8%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 69.2%
69.2%
30.8%
Little
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
7
(25 meetings)
18
7
Little
Foligno
Last 10: Little 7-3 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
5
3
Little
Foligno
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
8
3
Little
Foligno
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
5
1
Little
Foligno
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (8,646)
48.3% (2,810)
+2.6%
Power Play
55.5% (1,593)
52.3% (730)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,406)
44.0% (455)
-0.5%
On power play, Little has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Little is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,844).
Little shoots right. Foligno is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,501).
Home / Away
Little
Foligno
Home
52.9% (5,664)
49.9% (2,013)
Away
48.6% (6,017)
47.2% (1,984)
By Period
Little
Foligno
P1
50.9%
47.6%
P2
49.6%
50.4%
P3
51.5%
48.3%
OT
49.1%
29.7%
Final 5 min
51.1%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2017 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 3 | 16:13 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 3 | 07:00 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 3 | 03:23 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 3 | 00:39 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 2 | 15:15 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 2 | 10:41 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 2 | 05:45 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 2 | 01:21 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 1 | 13:44 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 3 | 14:30 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 3 | 14:24 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 3 | 00:30 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 15:27 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 11:00 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 10:50 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 1 | 10:43 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 1 | 06:16 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 1 | 00:51 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 2 | 14:15 | Defensive | Bryan Little |