Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 49.9%). Look for Spaling on neutral-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 50.6% vs Spaling 49.9% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Spaling leads 23-15 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Little 53.9%
Defensive zone
Spaling 64.0%
Neutral zone
Spaling 59.8%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Little
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
23
(38 meetings)
15
23
Little
Spaling
Last 10: Little 7-3 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
7
9
Little
Spaling
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
4
5
Little
Spaling
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spaling
4
9
Little
Spaling
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (8,646)
50.5% (2,263)
+0.4%
Power Play
55.5% (1,593)
43.4% (53)
+12.1%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,406)
48.0% (498)
-4.5%
On power play, Little has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Little is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,844).
Little shoots right. Spaling is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (980).
Home / Away
Little
Spaling
Home
52.9% (5,664)
51.9% (1,437)
Away
48.6% (6,017)
47.8% (1,378)
By Period
Little
Spaling
P1
50.9%
49.8%
P2
49.6%
48.3%
P3
51.5%
52.0%
OT
49.1%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2015 | 3 | 02:51 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 2, 2015 | 3 | 02:43 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 2, 2015 | 2 | 04:15 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 2, 2015 | 1 | 16:03 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 3 | 14:14 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 3 | 11:47 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 3 | 04:21 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 3 | 04:16 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 3 | 03:00 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 3 | 02:49 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 2 | 16:01 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 2 | 12:17 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 2 | 06:38 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 1 | 19:08 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 1 | 13:48 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 1 | 11:05 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 1 | 09:33 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 1 | 05:15 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |