Scouting Report
Nick Spaling holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Spaling on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 47.6% vs Spaling 51.7% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Little 71.3%
Defensive zone
Little 70.4%
Neutral zone
Little 72.6%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 71.1%
71.1%
28.9%
Little
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Little
Spaling
Last 7: Little 2-5 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
1
2
Little
Spaling
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
1
2
Little
Spaling
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spaling
0
1
Little
Spaling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (1,168)
56.3% (119)
-9.2%
Power Play
52.6% (215)
40.0% (5)
+12.6%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (270)
44.2% (43)
+1.0%
On power play, Little has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Little is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,177).
Little shoots right. Spaling is 58.5% vs right-shot opponents (65).
Home / Away
Little
Spaling
Home
49.6% (829)
40.0% (45)
Away
45.4% (824)
57.4% (122)
By Period
Little
Spaling
P1
48.3%
47.1%
P2
44.5%
52.2%
P3
48.7%
61.4%
OT
56.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.4%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
47.5%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2013 | 2 | 13:41 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 2 | 00:39 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 2 | 00:26 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 1 | 15:30 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 24, 2013 | 3 | 08:46 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 20, 2013 | 3 | 09:13 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 20, 2013 | 2 | 06:50 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |