Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.3% vs 51.4%). Look for Spaling on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 51.2% vs Spaling 51.2% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Spaling leads 14-9 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Little 73.4%
Defensive zone
Spaling 57.9%
Neutral zone
Little 52.4%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Little
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
14
(23 meetings)
9
14
Little
Spaling
Last 10: Little 7-3 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
5
3
Little
Spaling
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
2
3
Little
Spaling
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spaling
2
8
Little
Spaling
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (895)
52.5% (461)
-1.9%
Power Play
61.6% (216)
66.7% (9)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (203)
46.6% (131)
-3.3%
On power play, Spaling has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Little is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (851).
Little shoots right. Spaling is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (245).
Home / Away
Little
Spaling
Home
51.6% (628)
57.2% (297)
Away
51.0% (686)
45.7% (304)
By Period
Little
Spaling
P1
52.0%
54.2%
P2
49.3%
46.6%
P3
53.0%
54.3%
OT
38.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.3%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2015 | 3 | 02:51 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 2, 2015 | 3 | 02:43 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 2, 2015 | 2 | 04:15 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 2, 2015 | 1 | 16:03 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 3 | 14:14 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 3 | 11:47 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 3 | 04:21 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 3 | 04:16 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 3 | 03:00 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 3 | 02:49 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 2 | 16:01 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 2 | 12:17 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 2 | 06:38 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 1 | 19:08 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 1 | 13:48 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 1 | 11:05 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 1 | 09:33 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 1 | 05:15 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |