Bryan Little vs Nicklas Backstrom
2011-12 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Little on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 49.6% vs Backstrom 50.9% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 62.3%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 53.0%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 54.6%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Little
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Little
Backstrom
Last 8: Little 6-2 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
4
0
Little
Backstrom
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Little
Backstrom
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (1,089)
49.0% (496)
+0.8%
Power Play
51.4% (218)
55.6% (151)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (149)
57.9% (38)
-12.3%
On penalty kill, Backstrom has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Little is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (985).
Little shoots right. Backstrom is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (188).
Home / Away
Little
Backstrom
Home
52.9% (681)
53.5% (368)
Away
46.7% (798)
48.3% (323)
By Period
Little
Backstrom
P1
49.9%
49.1%
P2
49.2%
51.0%
P3
49.7%
53.5%
OT
48.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
49.6%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2011 | 2 | 14:34 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 3 | 09:43 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 3 | 01:36 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 2 | 16:48 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 1 | 06:12 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 3 | 18:11 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 2 | 03:47 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 1 | 19:00 | Defensive | Bryan Little |