Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 51.0%). Look for Little on defensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 50.6% vs Patrick 51.0% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Little leads 17-12 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Patrick 50.5%
Defensive zone
Patrick 50.4%
Neutral zone
Little 52.6%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Little
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
12
(29 meetings)
17
12
Little
Patrick
Last 10: Little 6-4 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
3
2
Little
Patrick
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
8
6
Little
Patrick
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
6
4
Little
Patrick
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (8,646)
50.6% (1,978)
+0.3%
Power Play
55.5% (1,593)
57.5% (120)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,406)
57.7% (26)
-14.2%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Little is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (3,837).
Little shoots right. Patrick is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (683).
Home / Away
Little
Patrick
Home
52.9% (5,664)
49.7% (1,106)
Away
48.6% (6,017)
52.5% (1,018)
By Period
Little
Patrick
P1
50.9%
52.9%
P2
49.6%
49.1%
P3
51.5%
51.3%
OT
49.1%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2019 | 3 | 19:19 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 28, 2019 | 3 | 12:09 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 28, 2019 | 3 | 09:34 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Jan 28, 2019 | 2 | 05:15 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 3 | 15:45 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 3 | 10:25 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 2 | 14:50 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 2 | 14:31 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 2 | 11:13 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 2 | 05:55 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 1 | 16:49 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 1 | 07:40 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 3 | 00:07 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 2 | 07:37 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 2 | 03:51 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 1 | 18:29 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 1 | 16:29 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 1 | 11:55 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |