Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Little on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Little wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 51.1% vs Bergeron 60.9% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Little leads 19-12 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 91.2%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 91.4%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 82.2%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 86.9%
13.1%
86.9%
Little
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
12
(31 meetings)
19
12
Little
Bergeron
Last 10: Little 4-6 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
3
0
Little
Bergeron
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
8
5
Little
Bergeron
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
8
7
Little
Bergeron
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (628)
62.6% (660)
-11.5%
Power Play
52.5% (118)
59.8% (97)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (96)
61.4% (127)
-11.4%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Little is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (319).
Little shoots right. Bergeron is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (339).
Home / Away
Little
Bergeron
Home
51.4% (420)
67.0% (443)
Away
50.9% (422)
57.1% (441)
By Period
Little
Bergeron
P1
50.4%
63.7%
P2
49.3%
60.0%
P3
53.8%
63.2%
OT
50.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
53.1%
66.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.2%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
62.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2013 | 3 | 19:07 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 3 | 18:58 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 3 | 15:40 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 3 | 15:28 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 3 | 12:57 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 3 | 12:41 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 3 | 07:13 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 2 | 07:13 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 1 | 17:06 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 1 | 14:01 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 1 | 09:29 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 1 | 07:32 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 1 | 04:22 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 1 | 00:23 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 3 | 19:13 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 2 | 18:10 | Defensive | Bryan Little |