Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 47.6% vs Bergeron 58.1% (-11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Little 75.6%
Defensive zone
Little 75.1%
Neutral zone
Little 77.8%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 76.7%
76.7%
23.3%
Little
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Little
Bergeron
Last 7: Little 2-5 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
1
Little
Bergeron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Little
Bergeron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
3
Little
Bergeron
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (1,168)
59.4% (1,274)
-12.3%
Power Play
52.6% (215)
57.5% (193)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (270)
55.5% (265)
-10.3%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Little is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (476).
Little shoots right. Bergeron is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (613).
Home / Away
Little
Bergeron
Home
49.6% (829)
61.9% (837)
Away
45.4% (824)
55.5% (895)
By Period
Little
Bergeron
P1
48.3%
60.1%
P2
44.5%
59.2%
P3
48.7%
56.6%
OT
56.1%
57.7%
Final 5 min
45.4%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
47.5%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
58.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2014 | 2 | 19:15 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 2 | 14:35 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 2 | 09:21 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 2 | 03:08 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 2 | 00:11 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 1 | 15:52 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |