Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 48.6%). Look for Berglund on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 49.2% vs Berglund 49.0% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Little 50.8%
Defensive zone
Little 51.7%
Neutral zone
Little 54.2%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Little
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Little
Berglund
Last 5: Little 2-3 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
2
0
Little
Berglund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Berglund
0
3
Little
Berglund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (1,128)
48.5% (301)
+1.0%
Power Play
55.1% (216)
50.0% (14)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
41.1% (207)
50.0% (14)
-8.9%
On penalty kill, Berglund has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Little is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Little shoots right. Berglund is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Home / Away
Little
Berglund
Home
54.1% (756)
53.3% (180)
Away
44.4% (795)
43.0% (149)
By Period
Little
Berglund
P1
49.5%
52.3%
P2
50.2%
46.8%
P3
48.1%
46.7%
OT
44.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
49.1%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2015 | 3 | 13:48 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 1 | 14:03 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 1 | 07:20 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 23, 2014 | 3 | 00:40 | Offensive | Bryan Little |