Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.0% vs 55.1%). Look for Berglund on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Little wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Berglund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 55.6% vs Berglund 53.9% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Little 58.0%
Defensive zone
Little 52.0%
Neutral zone
Little 52.0%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Little
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Little
Berglund
Last 5: Little 1-4 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
0
3
Little
Berglund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Little
Berglund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,026)
55.2% (270)
+0.7%
Power Play
60.1% (158)
65.0% (20)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (122)
45.8% (24)
+5.8%
On penalty kill, Little has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Little is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (850).
Little shoots right. Berglund is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Little
Berglund
Home
58.6% (613)
61.2% (139)
Away
53.8% (693)
50.3% (175)
By Period
Little
Berglund
P1
54.4%
57.1%
P2
57.5%
60.2%
P3
56.6%
48.0%
OT
47.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.4%
61.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
56.0%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2017 | 2 | 07:50 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 17, 2017 | 1 | 12:01 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 17, 2017 | 1 | 08:34 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 17, 2017 | 1 | 01:38 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 2 | 10:44 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |