Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Elias on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Little wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Elias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 46.5% vs Elias 45.8% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Elias 50.3%
Defensive zone
Elias 54.4%
Neutral zone
Elias 54.5%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Little
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Little
Elias
Last 7: Little 3-4 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Little
Elias
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
1
0
Little
Elias
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Elias
1
3
Little
Elias
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (982)
44.5% (407)
+2.1%
Power Play
52.4% (166)
47.8% (23)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (170)
46.8% (62)
-9.2%
On penalty kill, Elias has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Little is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (887).
Little shoots right. Elias is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (163).
Home / Away
Little
Elias
Home
48.6% (623)
44.8% (252)
Away
44.2% (708)
45.1% (246)
By Period
Little
Elias
P1
46.3%
43.0%
P2
44.2%
47.8%
P3
48.1%
43.4%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
48.9%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.3%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2011 | 3 | 15:47 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 1 | 18:52 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 1 | 13:34 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 3 | 10:52 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 2 | 09:05 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 2 | 04:16 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 2 | 01:45 | Defensive | Bryan Little |