Bryan Little vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2011-12 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Little on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 49.6% vs Nugent-Hopkins 39.3% (+12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Little 66.7%
Defensive zone
Little 84.7%
Neutral zone
Little 80.7%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 79.1%
79.1%
20.9%
Little
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Little
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 6: Little 5-1 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
1
0
Little
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
1
0
Little
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
3
1
Little
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (1,089)
37.1% (566)
+12.7%
Power Play
51.4% (218)
54.5% (22)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (149)
40.0% (5)
+5.6%
On even strength, Little has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Little is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (985).
Little shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 39.0% vs right-shot opponents (200).
Home / Away
Little
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
52.9% (681)
37.5% (312)
Away
46.7% (798)
37.5% (293)
By Period
Little
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
49.9%
35.4%
P2
49.2%
37.8%
P3
49.7%
39.9%
OT
48.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
48.5%
37.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
49.6%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
37.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2012 | 3 | 19:21 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 3 | 18:53 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 2 | 09:53 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 1 | 14:12 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 1 | 06:50 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Feb 27, 2012 | 1 | 01:06 | Neutral | Bryan Little |