Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 50.6% vs Gagner 46.0% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Gagner leads 17-16 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 71.0%
Defensive zone
Little 51.9%
Neutral zone
Gagner 62.3%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 62.3%
37.7%
62.3%
Little
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
17
(33 meetings)
16
17
Little
Gagner
Last 10: Little 5-5 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
2
11
Little
Gagner
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
7
1
Little
Gagner
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
7
5
Little
Gagner
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (8,646)
45.4% (4,699)
+5.5%
Power Play
55.5% (1,593)
51.5% (928)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,406)
35.0% (226)
+8.5%
On penalty kill, Little has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Little is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (3,837).
Little shoots right. Gagner is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,684).
Home / Away
Little
Gagner
Home
52.9% (5,664)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
48.6% (6,017)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Little
Gagner
P1
50.9%
44.6%
P2
49.6%
46.1%
P3
51.5%
47.3%
OT
49.1%
42.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2018 | 3 | 17:47 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 1 | 08:35 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 3 | 18:19 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 14:22 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 1 | 16:25 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 18, 2015 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 18, 2015 | 3 | 13:01 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Jan 18, 2015 | 2 | 18:47 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 3 | 05:01 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 2 | 16:41 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 3 | 15:36 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 3 | 09:46 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 3 | 09:35 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 2 | 10:48 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 2 | 10:36 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 1 | 10:36 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 1 | 08:48 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 06:44 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 00:38 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |