Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Little on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 50.6% vs Matthias 46.6% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Little leads 15-11 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Little 74.5%
Defensive zone
Little 59.8%
Neutral zone
Little 69.4%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
Little
Matthias
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
11
(26 meetings)
15
11
Little
Matthias
Last 10: Little 8-2 Matthias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
6
4
Little
Matthias
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
4
3
Little
Matthias
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
5
4
Little
Matthias
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Matthias
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (8,646)
46.4% (1,716)
+4.5%
Power Play
55.5% (1,593)
56.3% (103)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,406)
41.7% (175)
+1.8%
On even strength, Little has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthias shoots left. Little is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,844).
Little shoots right. Matthias is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (727).
Home / Away
Little
Matthias
Home
52.9% (5,664)
46.9% (933)
Away
48.6% (6,017)
45.9% (1,069)
By Period
Little
Matthias
P1
50.9%
47.8%
P2
49.6%
49.4%
P3
51.5%
41.6%
OT
49.1%
45.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2014 | 2 | 12:29 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 20, 2013 | 2 | 05:08 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 3 | 14:35 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 3 | 04:21 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 2 | 15:16 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 1 | 19:47 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 04:55 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 2 | 18:22 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 2 | 14:50 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 3 | 03:16 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 1 | 08:13 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 1 | 04:31 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 2 | 16:54 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Feb 3, 2012 | 1 | 13:48 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 15:55 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 03:42 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 1 | 09:21 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 1 | 07:14 | Offensive | Bryan Little |