Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Little on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 51.1% vs Ott 54.8% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ott 70.6%
Defensive zone
Ott 82.0%
Neutral zone
Ott 65.7%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 68.8%
31.2%
68.8%
Little
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Little
Ott
Last 8: Little 5-3 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
4
1
Little
Ott
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
1
2
Little
Ott
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (628)
54.8% (305)
-3.7%
Power Play
52.5% (118)
56.8% (95)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (96)
57.0% (135)
-7.0%
On penalty kill, Ott has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Little is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (523).
Little shoots right. Ott is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Home / Away
Little
Ott
Home
51.4% (420)
58.7% (271)
Away
50.9% (422)
52.7% (264)
By Period
Little
Ott
P1
50.4%
60.4%
P2
49.3%
54.0%
P3
53.8%
52.6%
OT
50.0%
65.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.2%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2013 | 3 | 19:30 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Apr 22, 2013 | 3 | 13:07 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Apr 22, 2013 | 3 | 12:56 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 1 | 02:37 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 1 | 02:30 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 1 | 13:48 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 1 | 11:53 | Offensive | Steve Ott |