Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Plekanec on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Little wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 55.6% vs Plekanec 53.1% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Little 66.2%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 71.4%
Neutral zone
Plekanec 51.4%
Result
Tomas Plekanec favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Little
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Little
Plekanec
Last 5: Little 1-4 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
1
0
Little
Plekanec
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
0
1
Little
Plekanec
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Plekanec
0
3
Little
Plekanec
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,026)
53.3% (1,007)
+2.6%
Power Play
60.1% (158)
71.4% (21)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (122)
51.4% (208)
+0.2%
On power play, Plekanec has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Little is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (850).
Little shoots right. Plekanec is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (463).
Home / Away
Little
Plekanec
Home
58.6% (613)
52.2% (628)
Away
53.8% (693)
54.4% (608)
By Period
Little
Plekanec
P1
54.4%
55.6%
P2
57.5%
54.4%
P3
56.6%
49.9%
OT
47.6%
63.6%
Final 5 min
55.4%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
56.0%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2018 | 2 | 17:24 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 2 | 14:15 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 3 | 00:19 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 2 | 06:28 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 1 | 17:40 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |