Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Little on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Little wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Mitchell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 55.6% vs Mitchell 49.7% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Little 91.0%
Defensive zone
Little 62.3%
Neutral zone
Little 75.9%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 70.5%
70.5%
29.5%
Little
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Little
Mitchell
Last 7: Little 5-2 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
2
0
Little
Mitchell
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
3
2
Little
Mitchell
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,026)
50.3% (334)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (122)
45.6% (57)
+6.0%
On penalty kill, Little has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots right. Little is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (456).
Little shoots right. Mitchell is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Home / Away
Little
Mitchell
Home
58.6% (613)
50.0% (172)
Away
53.8% (693)
49.3% (219)
By Period
Little
Mitchell
P1
54.4%
55.1%
P2
57.5%
46.6%
P3
56.6%
46.7%
Final 5 min
55.4%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
56.0%
Mitchell
38.0%▼
45.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2018 | 3 | 10:19 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 20, 2018 | 3 | 01:57 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 20, 2018 | 2 | 03:58 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 20, 2018 | 1 | 18:05 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 20, 2018 | 1 | 14:41 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 3 | 05:33 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 1 | 07:11 | Offensive | Bryan Little |