Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.6% vs 54.7%). Look for Zajac on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Little wins 54.8% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 55.1% vs Zajac 54.4% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Zajac leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Little 62.3%
Defensive zone
Little 50.2%
Neutral zone
Little 59.0%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Little
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
12
(18 meetings)
6
12
Little
Zajac
Last 10: Little 5-5 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
2
4
Little
Zajac
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
4
Little
Zajac
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Little
Zajac
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (847)
54.1% (1,208)
+3.2%
Power Play
57.5% (160)
60.9% (230)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (90)
50.3% (179)
-13.6%
On penalty kill, Zajac has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Little is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Little shoots right. Zajac is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (517).
Home / Away
Little
Zajac
Home
56.7% (575)
56.3% (778)
Away
54.4% (522)
53.2% (839)
By Period
Little
Zajac
P1
55.4%
56.3%
P2
53.9%
54.6%
P3
57.6%
53.1%
OT
58.3%
55.6%
Final 5 min
56.9%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
55.6%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2017 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 3 | 16:27 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 1 | 11:37 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 3 | 19:10 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 3 | 19:07 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 3 | 10:03 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 3 | 04:47 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 3 | 02:53 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 2 | 19:43 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 2 | 14:57 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 2 | 14:33 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 2 | 00:16 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 2 | 00:12 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 2 | 00:05 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 1 | 18:13 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 1 | 12:57 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |