Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Little on neutral-zone draws (62% H2H, 45 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 50.6% vs Bozak 53.4% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 64-62 in 126 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 52.2%
Defensive zone
Bozak 52.0%
Neutral zone
Bozak 50.8%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Little
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
62
-
64
(126 meetings)
62
64
Little
Bozak
Last 10: Little 5-5 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
17
26
Little
Bozak
43 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
17
21
Little
Bozak
38 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
28
17
Little
Bozak
45 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (8,646)
53.7% (9,596)
-2.8%
Power Play
55.5% (1,593)
55.2% (1,990)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,406)
48.0% (1,094)
-4.5%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Little is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (3,837).
Little shoots right. Bozak is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,312).
Home / Away
Little
Bozak
Home
52.9% (5,664)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
48.6% (6,017)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Little
Bozak
P1
50.9%
53.2%
P2
49.6%
52.8%
P3
51.5%
54.5%
OT
49.1%
52.9%
Final 5 min
51.1%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2018 | 3 | 00:35 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 2 | 11:44 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 2 | 11:39 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 1 | 13:15 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 22, 2018 | OT | 01:30 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 22, 2018 | 3 | 14:31 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 22, 2018 | 2 | 14:49 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Oct 22, 2018 | 2 | 12:45 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 22, 2018 | 2 | 01:57 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 22, 2018 | 2 | 01:35 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 22, 2018 | 1 | 10:42 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 22, 2018 | 1 | 01:22 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 3 | 09:23 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 3 | 00:39 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 05:17 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 01:30 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 12:52 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 01:22 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 3 | 02:08 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 1 | 18:40 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |