Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Little on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Little wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 51.1% vs Bozak 52.4% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Little leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 52.3%
Defensive zone
Bozak 59.1%
Neutral zone
Bozak 55.8%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Little
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Little
Bozak
Last 10: Little 6-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
2
1
Little
Bozak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
2
Little
Bozak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
4
1
Little
Bozak
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (628)
52.8% (697)
-1.7%
Power Play
52.5% (118)
50.9% (171)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (96)
53.3% (195)
-3.3%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Little is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (319).
Little shoots right. Bozak is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Little
Bozak
Home
51.4% (420)
52.1% (530)
Away
50.9% (422)
53.1% (533)
By Period
Little
Bozak
P1
50.4%
54.1%
P2
49.3%
50.6%
P3
53.8%
53.4%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.2%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2013 | 1 | 13:37 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 1 | 10:32 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 19:32 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 12:53 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 10:01 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 2 | 14:30 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 17:25 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 10:53 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 06:06 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 3 | 15:24 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 2 | 10:33 | Offensive | Bryan Little |