Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Little on offensive-zone draws (56% H2H, 25 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 50.6% vs Johnson 49.7% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Little leads 29-27 in 56 meetings
Offensive zone
Little 50.3%
Defensive zone
Little 54.5%
Neutral zone
Little 53.2%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Little
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
27
(56 meetings)
29
27
Little
Johnson
Last 10: Little 5-5 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
14
11
Little
Johnson
25 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
12
10
Little
Johnson
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
3
6
Little
Johnson
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (8,646)
49.8% (5,396)
+1.1%
Power Play
55.5% (1,593)
54.6% (885)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,406)
42.3% (707)
+1.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Little is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (3,837).
Little shoots right. Johnson is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,203).
Home / Away
Little
Johnson
Home
52.9% (5,664)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
48.6% (6,017)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Little
Johnson
P1
50.9%
50.1%
P2
49.6%
50.6%
P3
51.5%
48.4%
OT
49.1%
42.5%
Final 5 min
51.1%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2018 | 3 | 19:51 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 3 | 11:13 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 2 | 12:42 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 1 | 13:40 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 1 | 07:57 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 3 | 10:08 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 3 | 03:10 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 3 | 02:49 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 2 | 11:07 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 1 | 18:42 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 1 | 12:32 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 3, 2017 | 1 | 02:38 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 2 | 16:35 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 1 | 12:05 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 1 | 11:55 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 1 | 07:47 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 23, 2015 | 3 | 12:31 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 23, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 23, 2015 | 2 | 12:11 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 23, 2015 | 2 | 12:08 | Offensive | Bryan Little |