Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Little wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 51.1% vs Johnson 55.2% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 50.9%
Defensive zone
Little 53.0%
Neutral zone
Little 51.0%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Little
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Little
Johnson
Last 8: Little 4-4 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
2
4
Little
Johnson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
2
0
Little
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (628)
55.9% (93)
-4.8%
Power Play
52.5% (118)
66.7% (18)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (96)
80.0% (10)
-30.0%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Little is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (319).
Little shoots right. Johnson is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (42).
Home / Away
Little
Johnson
Home
51.4% (420)
67.2% (61)
Away
50.9% (422)
51.7% (60)
By Period
Little
Johnson
P1
50.4%
55.6%
P2
49.3%
70.5%
P3
53.8%
52.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
69.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.2%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
59.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2013 | 3 | 19:33 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 3 | 16:02 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 3 | 13:27 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 2 | 19:13 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 2 | 15:56 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 2 | 12:15 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 2 | 12:09 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 1 | 19:24 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |