Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Little on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Little wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 55.1% vs Karlsson 45.8% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Little 89.6%
Defensive zone
Little 63.8%
Neutral zone
Little 78.7%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 74.0%
74.0%
26.0%
Little
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Little
Karlsson
Last 9: Little 7-2 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
3
0
Little
Karlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
3
2
Little
Karlsson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
1
0
Little
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (847)
47.2% (786)
+10.1%
Power Play
57.5% (160)
54.5% (11)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (90)
35.6% (163)
+1.1%
On even strength, Little has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Little is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (776).
Little shoots right. Karlsson is 36.7% vs right-shot opponents (371).
Home / Away
Little
Karlsson
Home
56.7% (575)
46.4% (478)
Away
54.4% (522)
44.2% (482)
By Period
Little
Karlsson
P1
55.4%
44.8%
P2
53.9%
45.6%
P3
57.6%
45.5%
Final 5 min
56.9%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
55.6%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2017 | 2 | 03:05 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 2 | 03:00 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 17:19 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 17:39 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 15:51 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 13:01 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 1 | 09:56 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 1 | 05:53 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 1 | 00:24 | Defensive | William Karlsson |