Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 50.6% vs Gourde 48.2% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Little 56.3%
Defensive zone
Gourde 60.0%
Neutral zone
Gourde 57.0%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Little
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Little
Gourde
Last 9: Little 4-5 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
2
3
Little
Gourde
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Little
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Little
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (8,646)
48.4% (4,954)
+2.5%
Power Play
55.5% (1,593)
57.4% (376)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,406)
39.9% (554)
+3.6%
On penalty kill, Little has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Little is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,844).
Little shoots right. Gourde is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,937).
Home / Away
Little
Gourde
Home
52.9% (5,664)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
48.6% (6,017)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Little
Gourde
P1
50.9%
49.9%
P2
49.6%
47.4%
P3
51.5%
47.5%
OT
49.1%
37.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2019 | 3 | 00:20 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 3 | 14:23 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 3 | 10:50 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 3 | 00:19 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 2 | 13:05 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 2 | 09:48 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 3 | 14:30 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 3 | 14:23 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |