Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Little wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 55.6% vs Gourde 44.8% (+12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 60.2%
Defensive zone
Gourde 56.8%
Neutral zone
Gourde 60.4%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Little
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Little
Gourde
Last 8: Little 3-5 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
2
3
Little
Gourde
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Little
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Little
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,026)
40.9% (279)
+15.0%
Power Play
60.1% (158)
58.3% (60)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (122)
36.0% (25)
+15.6%
On penalty kill, Little has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Little is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (850).
Little shoots right. Gourde is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Home / Away
Little
Gourde
Home
58.6% (613)
45.5% (189)
Away
53.8% (693)
41.1% (175)
By Period
Little
Gourde
P1
54.4%
42.4%
P2
57.5%
48.3%
P3
56.6%
40.3%
OT
47.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.4%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
56.0%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2018 | 3 | 14:23 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 3 | 10:50 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 3 | 00:19 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 2 | 13:05 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 2 | 09:48 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 3 | 14:30 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 3 | 14:23 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |