Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 50.6%). Look for Little on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 26 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 50.6% vs Smith 50.6% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Little leads 39-38 in 77 meetings
Offensive zone
Little 64.3%
Defensive zone
Smith 61.3%
Neutral zone
Little 51.4%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Little
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
39
-
38
(77 meetings)
39
38
Little
Smith
Last 10: Little 4-6 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
18
8
Little
Smith
26 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
9
15
Little
Smith
24 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
12
15
Little
Smith
27 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (8,646)
51.6% (5,265)
-0.7%
Power Play
55.5% (1,593)
51.2% (342)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,406)
45.3% (985)
-1.8%
On power play, Little has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Little is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,844).
Little shoots right. Smith is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,394).
Home / Away
Little
Smith
Home
52.9% (5,664)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
48.6% (6,017)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Little
Smith
P1
50.9%
49.9%
P2
49.6%
50.0%
P3
51.5%
51.9%
OT
49.1%
51.6%
Final 5 min
51.1%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 13:39 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 1 | 05:39 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 1 | 05:33 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Apr 2, 2018 | 3 | 13:56 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Apr 2, 2018 | 3 | 02:09 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Apr 2, 2018 | 1 | 12:39 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Apr 2, 2018 | 1 | 10:01 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 2 | 19:25 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 2 | 12:56 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 1 | 18:41 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 1 | 18:27 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 8, 2014 | OT | 04:39 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 3 | 07:19 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 3 | 04:16 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 3 | 19:38 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 3 | 17:26 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 2 | 17:10 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 1 | 06:25 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 1 | 05:28 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 3 | 16:34 | Offensive | Bryan Little |