Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Little on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Little wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 46.5% vs Smith 53.1% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 57.5%
Defensive zone
Smith 66.0%
Neutral zone
Smith 62.8%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Little
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Little
Smith
Last 7: Little 4-3 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
3
0
Little
Smith
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Little
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Little
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (982)
58.1% (322)
-11.5%
Power Play
52.4% (166)
36.8% (19)
+15.6%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (170)
32.6% (46)
+5.0%
On power play, Little has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Little is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (887).
Little shoots right. Smith is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Little
Smith
Home
48.6% (623)
58.8% (204)
Away
44.2% (708)
48.4% (184)
By Period
Little
Smith
P1
46.3%
52.9%
P2
44.2%
56.3%
P3
48.1%
51.9%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.9%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.3%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2011 | 2 | 13:37 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 27, 2011 | 1 | 14:04 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 3 | 13:29 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 3 | 13:24 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 2 | 14:26 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 2 | 14:19 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 1 | 18:22 | Defensive | Zack Smith |