Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.2% vs 51.8%). Look for Little on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 51.1% vs Smith 51.6% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Little leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Smith 52.5%
Defensive zone
Smith 50.2%
Neutral zone
Smith 52.4%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Little
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Little
Smith
Last 10: Little 7-3 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
2
1
Little
Smith
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Little
Smith
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
3
0
Little
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (628)
52.6% (635)
-1.5%
Power Play
52.5% (118)
45.5% (44)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (96)
48.1% (52)
+1.9%
On power play, Little has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Little is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (523).
Little shoots right. Smith is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Home / Away
Little
Smith
Home
51.4% (420)
53.4% (371)
Away
50.9% (422)
50.3% (360)
By Period
Little
Smith
P1
50.4%
50.2%
P2
49.3%
52.2%
P3
53.8%
52.7%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
53.1%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.2%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2013 | 3 | 19:49 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 3 | 14:02 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 2 | 19:17 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 1 | 18:44 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 1 | 11:39 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 1 | 11:24 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 04:21 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 19:10 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 18:03 | Defensive | Zack Smith |