Scouting Report
Cedric Paquette holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Froese on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Froese wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Paquette shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Froese 45.6% vs Paquette 47.4% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paquette 60.4%
Defensive zone
Paquette 56.2%
Neutral zone
Froese 53.0%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Froese
Paquette
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Froese
Paquette
Last 9: Froese 6-3 Paquette
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Froese
2
1
Froese
Paquette
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Froese
3
1
Froese
Paquette
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Froese
Paquette
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Froese
Paquette
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (298)
46.6% (474)
+0.4%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
0.0% (2)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
28.8% (52)
56.5% (23)
-27.7%
On power play, Froese has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paquette shoots left. Froese is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (233).
Froese shoots right. Paquette is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Froese
Paquette
Home
47.8% (159)
50.2% (233)
Away
41.5% (193)
44.0% (266)
By Period
Froese
Paquette
P1
41.2%
42.0%
P2
42.9%
47.6%
P3
49.5%
51.6%
Final 5 min
46.3%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Froese
50.0%▼
52.5%
44.3%
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2018 | 2 | 17:37 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 2 | 17:14 | Offensive | Byron Froese |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 2 | 16:57 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 2 | 10:50 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 2 | 02:05 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 1 | 08:37 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 1 | 02:27 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 1 | 02:11 | Offensive | Byron Froese |