Scouting Report
Chris Wagner holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Wagner on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Froese 48.1% vs Wagner 49.0% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Froese 53.3%
Defensive zone
Froese 52.1%
Neutral zone
Froese 52.5%
Result
Byron Froese favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Froese
Wagner
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Froese
Wagner
Last 5: Froese 1-4 Wagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
0
1
Froese
Wagner
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wagner
1
3
Froese
Wagner
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Froese
Wagner
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (984)
50.8% (1,243)
-1.5%
Power Play
25.0% (12)
40.0% (20)
-15.0%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (243)
42.0% (307)
+1.6%
On power play, Wagner has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wagner shoots right. Froese is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Froese shoots right. Wagner is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (408).
Home / Away
Froese
Wagner
Home
50.0% (582)
49.8% (817)
Away
46.1% (657)
47.9% (753)
By Period
Froese
Wagner
P1
45.5%
48.6%
P2
47.5%
48.6%
P3
50.8%
49.5%
OT
80.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Froese
50.0%▼
52.5%
47.9%
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2018 | 1 | 02:29 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 3 | 15:01 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 3 | 11:21 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 1 | 18:37 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 1 | 08:50 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |