Scouting Report
Byron Froese holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Rasmussen on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Froese wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Rasmussen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Froese 48.5% vs Rasmussen 47.7% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rasmussen 74.0%
Defensive zone
Froese 76.6%
Neutral zone
Froese 50.7%
Result
Byron Froese favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
Froese
Rasmussen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Froese
Rasmussen
Last 8: Froese 4-4 Rasmussen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
1
2
Froese
Rasmussen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Froese
3
2
Froese
Rasmussen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Froese
Rasmussen
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (461)
46.9% (303)
+1.7%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
66.7% (3)
-38.1%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (174)
0.0% (1)
+48.3%
On penalty kill, Froese has a +48.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rasmussen shoots left. Froese is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (450).
Froese shoots right. Rasmussen is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (123).
Home / Away
Froese
Rasmussen
Home
48.1% (312)
47.8% (136)
Away
48.5% (330)
46.2% (171)
By Period
Froese
Rasmussen
P1
43.6%
51.0%
P2
48.4%
46.5%
P3
52.4%
43.3%
Final 5 min
47.8%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Froese
50.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
Rasmussen
52.0%▲
46.0%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2016 | 3 | 11:06 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Feb 15, 2016 | 2 | 01:55 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Feb 15, 2016 | 1 | 12:04 | Neutral | Dennis Rasmussen |
| Feb 15, 2016 | 1 | 02:17 | Defensive | Dennis Rasmussen |
| Feb 15, 2016 | 1 | 02:09 | Defensive | Dennis Rasmussen |
| Jan 15, 2016 | 3 | 17:57 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Jan 15, 2016 | 3 | 17:48 | Neutral | Dennis Rasmussen |
| Jan 15, 2016 | 1 | 01:51 | Neutral | Byron Froese |