Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Froese wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — MacKenzie shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Froese 45.6% vs MacKenzie 51.8% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
MacKenzie leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Froese 78.2%
Defensive zone
Froese 82.3%
Neutral zone
Froese 80.2%
Result
Byron Froese favored at 81.2%
81.2%
18.8%
Froese
MacKenzie
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Froese
MacKenzie
Last 10: Froese 2-8 MacKenzie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Froese
MacKenzie
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
0
7
Froese
MacKenzie
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Froese
MacKenzie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Froese
MacKenzie
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (298)
55.7% (438)
-8.7%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
80.0% (5)
-30.0%
Penalty Kill
28.8% (52)
41.4% (162)
-12.6%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKenzie shoots left. Froese is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (233).
Froese shoots right. MacKenzie is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (265).
Home / Away
Froese
MacKenzie
Home
47.8% (159)
51.3% (312)
Away
41.5% (193)
52.9% (293)
By Period
Froese
MacKenzie
P1
41.2%
50.5%
P2
42.9%
48.8%
P3
49.5%
57.4%
Final 5 min
46.3%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Froese
50.0%▼
52.5%
44.3%
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 17:29 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 02:37 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 13:54 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 02:12 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 12:03 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 08:47 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 05:54 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 2 | 09:39 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 2 | 09:22 | Offensive | Byron Froese |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 2 | 02:21 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 1 | 11:27 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |