Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Froese 48.1% vs Ryan 55.2% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Froese 74.5%
Defensive zone
Froese 85.3%
Neutral zone
Froese 76.0%
Result
Byron Froese favored at 77.7%
77.7%
22.3%
Froese
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Froese
Ryan
Last 9: Froese 1-8 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
2
Froese
Ryan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
2
Froese
Ryan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
4
Froese
Ryan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Froese
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (984)
56.6% (4,102)
-7.3%
Power Play
25.0% (12)
53.2% (342)
-28.2%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (243)
47.8% (649)
-4.2%
On power play, Ryan has a +28.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Froese is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Froese shoots right. Ryan is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Home / Away
Froese
Ryan
Home
50.0% (582)
56.2% (2,559)
Away
46.1% (657)
54.4% (2,534)
By Period
Froese
Ryan
P1
45.5%
55.1%
P2
47.5%
54.7%
P3
50.8%
56.0%
OT
80.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
48.8%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Froese
50.0%▼
52.5%
47.9%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 07:46 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 3 | 06:10 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 1 | 19:11 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 1 | 15:22 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 1 | 11:25 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 11:39 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 19:47 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 19:41 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 19:29 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |