Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Froese wins 41.2% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Froese 45.6% vs Ryan 55.9% (-12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Froese 71.4%
Defensive zone
Froese 90.0%
Neutral zone
Froese 80.7%
Result
Byron Froese favored at 80.7%
80.7%
19.3%
Froese
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Froese
Ryan
Last 8: Froese 1-7 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
2
Froese
Ryan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
2
Froese
Ryan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
3
Froese
Ryan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Froese
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (298)
56.5% (816)
-9.5%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
55.2% (105)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
28.8% (52)
63.2% (19)
-34.4%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +34.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Froese is 41.2% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Froese shoots right. Ryan is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Home / Away
Froese
Ryan
Home
47.8% (159)
56.7% (466)
Away
41.5% (193)
56.3% (474)
By Period
Froese
Ryan
P1
41.2%
55.4%
P2
42.9%
58.1%
P3
49.5%
55.8%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
46.3%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Froese
50.0%▼
52.5%
44.3%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2018 | 3 | 06:10 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 1 | 19:11 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 1 | 15:22 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 1 | 11:25 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 11:39 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 19:47 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 19:41 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 19:29 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |