Scouting Report
Byron Froese holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Froese on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Froese 48.1% vs Stepan 46.6% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Froese leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 67.9%
Defensive zone
Froese 77.5%
Neutral zone
Froese 55.2%
Result
Byron Froese favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
Froese
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Froese
Stepan
Last 10: Froese 6-4 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
0
2
Froese
Stepan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Froese
7
0
Froese
Stepan
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
2
Froese
Stepan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Froese
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (984)
46.5% (10,204)
+2.8%
Power Play
25.0% (12)
48.8% (1,593)
-23.8%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (243)
44.2% (1,368)
-0.6%
On power play, Stepan has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Froese is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Froese shoots right. Stepan is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,991).
Home / Away
Froese
Stepan
Home
50.0% (582)
47.6% (6,608)
Away
46.1% (657)
45.5% (6,573)
By Period
Froese
Stepan
P1
45.5%
47.5%
P2
47.5%
45.6%
P3
50.8%
46.8%
OT
80.0%
40.7%
Final 5 min
48.8%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Froese
50.0%▼
52.5%
47.9%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2017 | 1 | 13:46 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 1 | 10:44 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 1 | 10:41 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 1 | 05:50 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 2 | 15:41 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 2 | 03:56 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Nov 15, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 3 | 17:09 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 3 | 13:58 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 2 | 06:10 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 2 | 03:59 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 2 | 00:58 | Defensive | Byron Froese |