Scouting Report
Byron Froese holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Froese on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Froese wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Froese 48.5% vs Stepan 47.0% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 61.1%
Defensive zone
Froese 84.9%
Neutral zone
Froese 60.7%
Result
Byron Froese favored at 75.8%
75.8%
24.2%
Froese
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Froese
Stepan
Last 8: Froese 6-2 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Froese
5
0
Froese
Stepan
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
2
Froese
Stepan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Froese
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (461)
46.6% (889)
+2.0%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
46.9% (113)
-18.3%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (174)
47.5% (101)
+0.8%
On power play, Stepan has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Froese is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Froese shoots right. Stepan is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Home / Away
Froese
Stepan
Home
48.1% (312)
47.7% (555)
Away
48.5% (330)
45.6% (548)
By Period
Froese
Stepan
P1
43.6%
46.4%
P2
48.4%
45.7%
P3
52.4%
48.5%
OT
75.0%
35.3%
Final 5 min
47.8%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Froese
50.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2016 | 2 | 15:41 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 2 | 03:56 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Nov 15, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 3 | 17:09 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 3 | 13:58 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 2 | 06:10 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 2 | 03:59 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 2 | 00:58 | Defensive | Byron Froese |