Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Froese on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Froese wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Brassard shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Froese 45.6% vs Brassard 49.2% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 79.8%
Defensive zone
Brassard 51.4%
Neutral zone
Brassard 51.7%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Froese
Brassard
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Froese
Brassard
Last 8: Froese 5-3 Brassard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
2
Froese
Brassard
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Froese
1
0
Froese
Brassard
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Froese
3
1
Froese
Brassard
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Froese
Brassard
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (298)
49.0% (936)
-2.0%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
48.1% (104)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
28.8% (52)
66.7% (9)
-37.9%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +37.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brassard shoots left. Froese is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (233).
Froese shoots right. Brassard is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Froese
Brassard
Home
47.8% (159)
50.5% (543)
Away
41.5% (193)
47.7% (507)
By Period
Froese
Brassard
P1
41.2%
48.8%
P2
42.9%
49.0%
P3
49.5%
49.6%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.3%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Froese
50.0%▼
52.5%
44.3%
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2018 | 2 | 12:57 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 2 | 10:30 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Feb 4, 2018 | 2 | 17:24 | Offensive | Byron Froese |
| Feb 4, 2018 | 2 | 02:05 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Feb 4, 2018 | 1 | 09:41 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 4, 2018 | 1 | 09:27 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 3 | 05:25 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 2 | 17:18 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |