Scouting Report
Byron Froese holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Froese on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Froese wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Froese 48.5% vs Hayes 38.9% (+12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Froese 57.8%
Defensive zone
Froese 96.5%
Neutral zone
Froese 88.6%
Result
Byron Froese favored at 82.3%
82.3%
17.7%
Froese
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Froese
Hayes
Last 6: Froese 5-1 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Froese
Hayes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Froese
3
0
Froese
Hayes
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Froese
1
0
Froese
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Froese
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (461)
35.4% (362)
+13.2%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
52.9% (17)
-24.3%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (174)
0.0% (2)
+48.3%
On penalty kill, Froese has a +48.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Froese is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (450).
Froese shoots right. Hayes is 33.1% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Froese
Hayes
Home
48.1% (312)
36.8% (212)
Away
48.5% (330)
34.9% (169)
By Period
Froese
Hayes
P1
43.6%
40.3%
P2
48.4%
31.1%
P3
52.4%
34.2%
OT
75.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
29.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Froese
50.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
36.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2015 | 1 | 13:59 | Offensive | Byron Froese |
| Nov 15, 2015 | 1 | 04:21 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 3 | 19:11 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 3 | 12:08 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 1 | 04:12 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 1 | 01:00 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |