Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Froese on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Froese 48.1% vs Stajan 49.4% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stajan 56.5%
Defensive zone
Froese 51.9%
Neutral zone
Stajan 56.9%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Froese
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Froese
Stajan
Last 7: Froese 4-3 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Froese
1
0
Froese
Stajan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
2
Froese
Stajan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Froese
3
1
Froese
Stajan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Froese
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (984)
50.2% (4,944)
-0.9%
Power Play
25.0% (12)
43.2% (176)
-18.2%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (243)
46.1% (864)
-2.5%
On power play, Stajan has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Froese is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (849).
Froese shoots right. Stajan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,026).
Home / Away
Froese
Stajan
Home
50.0% (582)
51.3% (3,098)
Away
46.1% (657)
47.3% (2,892)
By Period
Froese
Stajan
P1
45.5%
50.3%
P2
47.5%
48.5%
P3
50.8%
49.4%
OT
80.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
48.8%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Froese
50.0%▼
52.5%
47.9%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2017 | 2 | 14:56 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 2 | 13:03 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 2 | 10:10 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 2 | 05:21 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 3 | 13:42 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 2 | 14:20 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 2 | 04:40 | Offensive | Byron Froese |