Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Froese on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Froese wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Froese 45.6% vs Backlund 50.0% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 72.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 80.4%
Neutral zone
Backlund 68.2%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 70.5%
29.5%
70.5%
Froese
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Froese
Backlund
Last 5: Froese 4-1 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Froese
2
1
Froese
Backlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Froese
2
0
Froese
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Froese
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (298)
51.1% (1,070)
-4.1%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
50.5% (91)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
28.8% (52)
45.2% (248)
-16.4%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Froese is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (233).
Froese shoots right. Backlund is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (566).
Home / Away
Froese
Backlund
Home
47.8% (159)
49.3% (702)
Away
41.5% (193)
50.7% (708)
By Period
Froese
Backlund
P1
41.2%
46.3%
P2
42.9%
53.8%
P3
49.5%
49.9%
OT
100.0%
45.0%
Final 5 min
46.3%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Froese
50.0%▼
52.5%
44.3%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2017 | 3 | 11:03 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Dec 22, 2017 | 3 | 06:34 | Offensive | Byron Froese |
| Dec 22, 2017 | 1 | 07:56 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 3 | 18:29 | Offensive | Byron Froese |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 1 | 08:24 | Neutral | Byron Froese |